With one week to go, this column has now returned five weeks of profit in the last six, with a return of £9.54 secured in Part 6. Naturally, this series will return in time for the 2016/17 campaign; albeit with a slightly catchier title.
Here’s how we fared last weekend:
- Norwich vs Man Utd – Under 2.5 Goals (+£9)
- Aston Villa vs Newcastle – Over 2.5 Goals (-£5)
- Bournemouth vs West Brom – Callum Wilson Anytime Scorer (-£5)
- Crystal Palace vs Stoke – Both Teams to Score (+£9.54)
- Sunderland vs Chelsea – The Draw (-£5)
- West Ham vs Swansea – Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS (+£11)
- Leicester vs Everton – Under 2.5 Goals(-£5)
- Total: +£9.54
And so here we are: the final weekend of the Premier League season. There have been shocks and surprises, but with Champions League matters still up in the air there is still plenty to play for and bet on.
Of course, we are hampered by the fact that the majority of the teams in action this weekend have nothing to play for, but we must stick to the principles that have served us so well thus far.
Here is the form table that we will be working with:
So, how are things looking for the last week of the 2015/16 campaign?
Arsenal vs Aston Villa
With nine points separating these two, naturally we’re going for the Arsenal win here. The fact that Villa are conceding more than two goals per game on average, and the Gunners netting 1.5, means we expect them to bag at least two in this match. Indeed, it could well be a procession.
Arsenal to Win and Over 3.5 Goals at Evens (£5 returns £10)
Chelsea vs Leicester
Remember….the form table never lies. Chelsea have given up for the season (and we’re breaking the fourth wall here: they’ve started playing the kids/fringe players), while Leicester will want to finish on a high.
Leicester Double Chance at 7/10 (£5 returns £8.50)
Everton vs Norwich
One point separates these two sides in our table, and while neither is a draw specialist the most glaring stat is that both teams have an obvious propensity for conceding goals.
Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS at 5/6 (£5 returns £9.16)
Man Utd vs Bournemouth
Look at the goals scored/conceded column for these two sides recently….don’t expect a barnburner here.
Under 2.5 Goals at 5/4 (£5 returns £11.25)
Newcastle vs Tottenham
Only goal difference separates these two sides who have drawn 50% of their combined last 12 outings.
The Draw at 11/4 (£5 returns £18.75)
Southampton vs Crystal Palace
Only champions Leicester are in better form than Southampton right now, and a Palace side with one eye on the FA Cup final will surely relent here.
Southampton -1 Handicap at 10/11 (£5 returns £9.54)
Stoke vs West Ham
The Potters are in free fall at the moment; conceding nearly three goals per game. The Hammers have never been afraid of putting the ball in the net this campaign.
West Ham Over 1.5 Goals at 4/5 (£5 returns £9)
Swansea vs Man City
The Swans are playing with the kind of freedom that has witnessed them net and concede nearly two goals per game in their last six. Man City will not be found wanting in this area neither.
Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS at 5/6 (£5 returns £9.16)
Watford vs Sunderland
It’s impossible to bet against Sunderland at the moment; Watford are ending their campaign with a whimper.
Sunderland Draw No Bet at 11/8 (£5 returns £11.87)
West Brom vs Liverpool
Liverpool play in the Europa League final next Wednesday, so will they rest players? Surely they will. The Baggies are poor but capable of nicking a point against a weakened Reds.
The Draw at 5/2 (£5 returns £17.50)